North Shore
The future of the North Shore
On March 17, the North
Shore/Sunshine Coast/Sea-to-Sky division hosted City Hall 2006 at the Capilano
Golf and Country Club. Local experts, including Canadian Mortgage and Housing
Corporation senior market analyst, Cameron Muir, spoke about planning,
development and the future of North Shore communities.
According to Muir,
B.C. is in the middle of robust growth. We are seeing an increasing number of
people move to B.C., which drives the demand for housing and the increasing
price of homes. Muir does not see any indication of prices dropping, but warns,
“If mortgage rates climb faster than predicted, it will have a debilitating
effect on the housing market.” Muir says there is no bubble, but housing prices
might flatten out or decline slightly. It will be a “soft landing” due to the
strong economy.
There were fewer housing starts in 2005 than in 2004,
mostly attributed to rising construction costs and limited land supply. Many
projects won’t be completed on time or within budget due to labour constraints.
This concern was echoed by Grant Turnbull, president of Turnbull Construction
Services Ltd as he talked about the District of North Vancouver’s Lynn Valley
Library project. Construction costs are currently escalating at one per cent per
month, forcing developers to take cost-reducing steps. Turnbull says, “Even
after 2010, construction costs are expected to increase eight per cent per
year.”
Some developments you’ll be seeing on the North Shore include the
Ambleside Renewal Program, the Sea-to-Sky Highway, the Lynn Valley Library
project and the National Maritime Centre